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Prediction for CME (2015-11-16T03:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-11-16T03:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9706/-1
CME Note: CME associated with a second filament eruption visible in SDO 193/171/304 starting around 02UT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-11-18T19:24Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-18T13:57Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2015-11-16 03:12
Source Longtitude: 12
Source Latitude:  -8
Initial Shock Speed:  970 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  400 km/s
Duration Time: 1.0 hour (default)

Output results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2015-11-18 13:56:57
The transit time predicted is 58.75 hours!

Lead Time: 28.58 hour(s)
Difference: 5.45 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2015-11-17T14:49Z

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